Million people, Growth rate
                2020-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2020-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in EUR'13/MWh,Efficiency in liters/100 vehicle km
                2020-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in EUR'13/MWh,Efficiency in liters/100 vehicle km
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Eurostat, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Eurostat GDP growth indicator
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2015-2050
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt and in EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt and in EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2010-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            KC and Lutz, 2017
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Residential: thousands of units by house type ((semi-)detached, flat) Commercial: Million square meters by sector
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2010-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2010-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Eurostat, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Eurostat GDP growth indicator
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2010-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Economic Outlook No. 103 (July 2018)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                2010-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in EUR'13/MWh,Efficiency in liters/100 vehicle km
                2010-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in EUR'13/MWh,Efficiency in liters/100 vehicle km
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                2010-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt and in EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt and in EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2020-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            KC and Lutz, 2017
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Eurostat, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Eurostat GDP growth indicator
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                US$/National currency
                2015
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Economic Outlook No. 103 (July 2018)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in EUR'13/MWh,Efficiency in liters/100 vehicle km
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in EUR'13/MWh,Efficiency in liters/100 vehicle km
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                2015-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ and in EUR'13/MWh
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2018-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            KC and Lutz, 2017
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2010-2060
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2018-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2018-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Economic Outlook No. 103 (July 2018)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                US$/National currency
                2018-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Economic Outlook No. 103 (July 2018)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                2018-2060
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2019.018
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Gütschow et al, 2016
                    
                
                        
                        
                            PRIMAP for N2O
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csl/assessments/ozone/2018/ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NOAA, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NOAA: WMO Ozone Assessment 2018
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=POPPROJ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD Population Projects, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Population Projections (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://population.un.org/wpp/
                    
                
                    
                    
                        United Nations 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            UN (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/economy-finance/2018-ageing-report-underlying-assumptions-and-projection-methodologies_en
                    
                
                    
                    
                        EC, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Ageing Report 2018 (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2019/October
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IMF, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IMF (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2019.018
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Gütschow et al, 2016
                    
                
                        
                        
                            PRIMAP for N2O
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csl/assessments/ozone/2018/ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NOAA, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NOAA: WMO Ozone Assessment 2018
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2007-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=POPPROJ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD Population Projects, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Population Projections (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://population.un.org/wpp/
                    
                
                    
                    
                        United Nations 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            UN (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2007-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/economy-finance/2018-ageing-report-underlying-assumptions-and-projection-methodologies_en
                    
                
                    
                    
                        EC, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Ageing Report 2018 (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2019/October
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IMF, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IMF (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2007-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Eurostat, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Eurostat GDP growth indicator
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2019.018
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Gütschow et al, 2016
                    
                
                        
                        
                            PRIMAP for N2O
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csl/assessments/ozone/2018/ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NOAA, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NOAA: WMO Ozone Assessment 2018
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2014-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=POPPROJ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD Population Projects, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Population Projections (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://population.un.org/wpp/
                    
                
                    
                    
                        United Nations 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            UN (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2014-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/economy-finance/2018-ageing-report-underlying-assumptions-and-projection-methodologies_en
                    
                
                    
                    
                        EC, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Ageing Report 2018 (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2019/October
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IMF, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IMF (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2019.018
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Gütschow et al, 2016
                    
                
                        
                        
                            PRIMAP for N2O
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csl/assessments/ozone/2018/ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NOAA, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NOAA: WMO Ozone Assessment 2018
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=POPPROJ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD Population Projects, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Population Projections (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://population.un.org/wpp/
                    
                
                    
                    
                        United Nations 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            UN (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/economy-finance/2018-ageing-report-underlying-assumptions-and-projection-methodologies_en
                    
                
                    
                    
                        EC, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Ageing Report 2018 (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2019/October
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IMF, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IMF (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW or EUR'13/MWh, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2019.018
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Gütschow et al, 2016
                    
                
                        
                        
                            PRIMAP for N2O
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=POPPROJ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD Population Projects, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Population Projections (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://population.un.org/wpp/
                    
                
                    
                    
                        United Nations 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            UN (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/economy-finance/2018-ageing-report-underlying-assumptions-and-projection-methodologies_en
                    
                
                    
                    
                        EC, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Ageing Report 2018 (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2019/October
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IMF, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IMF (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                2015-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2017-2045
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=POPPROJ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD Population Projects, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Population Projections (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://population.un.org/wpp/
                    
                
                    
                    
                        United Nations 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            UN (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2017-2045
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/economy-finance/2018-ageing-report-underlying-assumptions-and-projection-methodologies_en
                    
                
                    
                    
                        EC, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Ageing Report 2018 (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2019/October
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IMF, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IMF (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                2011-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=POPPROJ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD Population Projects, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Population Projections (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/population-demography-migration-projections/population-projections-data 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Europop, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Europop (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://population.un.org/wpp/
                    
                
                    
                    
                        United Nations 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            UN (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.06.004
                    
                
                    
                    
                        KC and Lutz, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 Population (long-term)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                PPP (constant billion 2010 International $),PPP (constant billion 2010 €), 
Growth rate
                2011-2050
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO106_INTERNET
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                        OECD, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                            OECD (Economic Outlook No. 103 and 106) (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/economy-finance/2018-ageing-report-underlying-assumptions-and-projection-methodologies_en
                    
                
                    
                    
                        EC, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Ageing Report 2018 (short- and mid-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2019/October
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IMF, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IMF (short-term)
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.06.004 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Dellink et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            SSP2 (long-term) 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Million people, Growth rate
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2015
                
                    
                    
                        https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Eurostat, 2020
                    
                
                        
                        
                            Eurostat GDP growth indicator
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2010-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Economic Outlook No. 103 (July 2018)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                US$/National currency
                2011-2100
                
                    
                    
                        https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=EO103_LTB
                    
                
                    
                    
                        OECD, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            OECD Economic Outlook No. 103 (July 2018)
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                2015
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                2015
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in US$2010/kW, Lifetime in years
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                2015
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report 
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in M 2010 US$/Billion vehicle km, Efficiency in B vehicle km/PJ, Lifetime in years
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.nrel.gov/analysis/electrification-futures.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NREL, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NREL Electric futures report
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                2015
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in Million US$2010/PJ
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                Costs in $2010USD/Mt, Lifetime in years, Input requirements in PJ/Mt and t/t
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://ideas.repec.org/p/ipt/iptwpa/jrc108244.html
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Mantzos et al., 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NECPs
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.033
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Napp et al., 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            TIAM
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / tonne
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / barrel
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2019 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        IEA, 2019
                    
                
                        
                        
                            IEA WEO 2019
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                Mt
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-43
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Hoesly et al, 2018
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                            CMIP6 for CH4
                        
                    
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5880/PIK.2019.018
                    
                
                    
                    
                        Gütschow et al, 2016
                    
                
                        
                        
                            PRIMAP for N2O
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/csl/assessments/ozone/2018/ 
                    
                
                    
                    
                        NOAA, 2018
                    
                
                        
                        
                            NOAA: WMO Ozone Assessment 2018
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
                    
                    
                        https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-32
                    
                
                    
                    
                        van Marle et al, 2017
                    
                
                        
                        
                            CMIP6
                        
                    
                
            
        
            
                
                
                
            
        
            
                $2010USD per GJ / mmBTU